Rishi Sunak's fate has been sealed for a long time now, far before this disastrous election campaign even begun, writes Europe Correspondent Mei Heron.
After Boris Johnson damaged the credibility of UK politics and Liz Truss followed up with her chaotic mismanagement of the economy, Sunak inherited a mess that seemed to get worse the more he tried to fix it.
For the first time in 12 years, there's about to be a change of government in the United Kingdom, but there is hardly any buzz or fanfare. Since Sunak became prime minister 21 months ago, the narrative has not been if he will lose power, but when and how much by.
The polls have the Conservative Party on 20% well behind Labour's 41%. But some polls have the Tories even further behind, in third place behind Nigel Farage's right-wing populist Reform UK party, putting Britain's oldest and most electorally successful party at risk of extinction.
It's extraordinary to think the once formidable Conservative Party could be in such a position.

Come July 5, the fallout will likely be brutal for the Tories, the loss of power for any political party is painful enough, let alone for a party that is dogged by infighting, division and one that has lost its identity and direction.
Even if Rishi Sunak wanted to stay, it is unlikely he'd survive.
And fanning the flames of blame will likely be Farage and his Reform UK party who are managing to steal a number of disillusioned Conservative voters.
Farage became a household name championing Brexit, and pushing his anti-immigration, anti-EU rhetoric. His surge back into parliament is in line with the rise of the far-right across Europe, seen recently in France.
But ultimately, his return won't affect Labour and its likely victory which will result in Keir Starmer becoming the next UK prime minister.

As campaigning comes to an end, the pressure will soon turn on Labour to provide the stability and change many people seem so desperate for.
The issues that really matter to people have barely been mentioned in the past few weeks as the usual personality politics dominate the front pages. But the truth is, the economy remains fragile, the cost of living is stubbornly high, and immigration is still a major problem.
The tumultuous political scene in the UK over the past few years have resulted in record low trust levels in politicians.
Labour have promised a lot, and soon it'll be time for them to deliver.
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