Australians have come out in unprecedented numbers, with more than 4 million casting their votes early in what is deemed one of the most significant referendums in the nation's history.
This early voting surge ahead of tomorrow's referendum, however, might not be translating into the success that Prime Minister Anthony Albanese had hoped for.
On March 23 this year, an emotional Albanese appealed to his country as he announced the referendum, pleading the significance of recognising the Indigenous peoples in Australia's Constitution. He described the campaign as one "about love for our fellow Australians and about respect". At this point the 'Yes' vote had polled at 48%, but the last six months it has been on a steady decline.
Despite the fervent campaign led by Prime Minster Anthony Albanese, early polls suggest the Voice to Parliament may not secure the necessary majorities. (Source: 1News)
While there was initial optimism, especially given the significance of the move, the latest polling numbers paint a different picture. According to ABC's poll average, the 'No' vote is sitting at 58.8%, while the 'Yes' vote trails at 41.2%.
The essence of the referendum revolves around the question: "A proposed law: to alter the Constitution to recognise the First Peoples of Australia by establishing an Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice. Do you approve this proposed alteration?".
A 'Yes' vote would lead to a constitutional amendment, giving birth to a permanent advisory body. The body would serve as a platform for First Nations to directly communicate with the Parliament, addressing and discussing issues that affect them – things like health, education and employment. Statistically, Indigenous Australians have a lower life expectancy of eight years.
The Northern Territory Chief Minister, Natasha Fyles, said it was a defining moment for Australia.
"It's in our national anthem to advance Australia fairly. That's all being asked this weekend."
Despite the advocacy, there’s been criticism and resistance.
Opposition leader Peter Dutton has been critical on the detail on how the 'Voice' would operate. Similarly, Indigenous Australians Shadow Minister Jacinta Price described the referendum as "incredibly divisive".
For the referendum to pass, it would require a double majority – both nationally and in at least four out of six states. Tasmania is the only state that is currently leaning towards 'Yes'.
As it stands, Australia remains the only colonised country that does not yet recognise its Indigenous population in its foundational document.
Albanese, however, remains hopeful his crowning policy wouldn’t fail. Ahead of referendum day, he pleaded once again that "Australians would rise to the occasion".
"We’re a great country. We'll be even greater on Sunday if we've recognised the first Australians and said we want to hear them," he said.
With voting day imminent, Australia stands at a pivotal juncture in its history, and with 18 million eligible voters legally required to cast their ballot, change could be coming for the country.
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